In the poll, 55% say the economy would get better over the next four years if Romney was elected, compared with 46% who say it would improve if Obama was re-elected. Twenty-seven percent say the economy would get worse in a Romney first term, compared with 37% who say that of an Obama second term.
This, I can’t figure out – Romney leads across the board in this poll yet people still think Obama will win?
Indeed, regardless of which candidate they support, those surveyed predict by 56%-36% that the president will win in November over Republican Mitt Romney.
They say it is due to the “recovering economy” favoring Obama but that doesn’t really square with this:
Though an overwhelming 71% rate economic conditions as poor, a 58% majority predict they will be good a year from now. While those surveyed are inclined to say they are worse off financially than a year ago, nearly two-thirds say they think they’ll be better off this time next year.
I think that the the assumption that this is good for Obama is wrong. The reason that they think things will be better in a year is because they think Obama will be the one filing for unemployment.