Dick Morris: Here Comes The Landslide

Except for the foot fetish (funny how Chris Matthews was defending Morris when he worked for Clinton), Mr. Morris and I are peas in a pod:

Voters have figured out that President Obama has no message, no agenda and not even much of an explanation for what he has done over the past four years. His campaign is based entirely on persuading people that Mitt Romney is a uniquely bad man, entirely dedicated to the rich, ignorant of the problems of the average person. As long as he could run his negative ads, the campaign at least kept voters away from the Romney bandwagon. But once we all met Mitt Romney for three 90-minute debates, we got to know him — and to like him. He was not the monster Obama depicted, but a reasonable person for whom we could vote.

Then, in October, Obama lost the Southern swing states of Florida (29) and Virginia (13). He also lost Colorado (10), bringing his total to 255 votes.

And now, he faces the erosion of the northern swing states: Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4) and Iowa (6). Only in the union-anchored state of Nevada (9) does Obama still cling to a lead.

In the next few days, the battle will move to Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (15), Wisconsin (10) and Minnesota (16). Ahead in Pennsylvania, tied in Michigan and Wisconsin, and slightly behind in Minnesota, these new swing states look to be the battleground.

Or will the Romney momentum grow and wash into formerly safe Democratic territory in New Jersey and Oregon?

Once everyone discovers that the emperor has no clothes (or that Obama has no argument after the negative ads stopped working), the vote shift could be of historic proportions.

As for Congress, Morris predicts:

The most likely outcome? Eight GOP takeaways and two giveaways for a net gain of six. A 53-47 Senate, just like we have now, only opposite.

Barack Obama’s parting gift to the Democratic Party.

Like I said – Romney. Ryan. Landslide.

46 thoughts on “Dick Morris: Here Comes The Landslide

    • He is showing his true colors. Christie is and always has been a Progressive. It’s just that he fooled many conservatives early on because he is a Teddy Roosevelt style Progressive: he talks like a conservative, but he has Progressive values.

      Sadly, if Christie was serious about the smaller government, States’ rights stuff, he would NOT have pleaded for federal money and embraced Obama. He would have told Obama NO! We do NOT need the Feds and NJ will prove it! That’s what a principled person would have done. What Christie did was what all pretenders do when things get tough — he stuck out his hand.

      Now, before anyone starts the predictable hating on me for my words, I predict America will come through for the victims of Sandy — just like we did for the victims of 9/11 and Katrina. But I also believe that the more of that money that gets into federal hands, the less will get to the people who need it. Contrary to what the Press is saying, we do not need govt. or even Red Cross help (not the way we are told: just give the RC money). What we need is more DIRECT involvement by INDIVIDUAL AMERICANS!

      Strangely, the federal govt. has been making that illegal. then they have the nerve to ask why private citizens do not help and claim that this is “proof” we need to govt. It’s all corruption at the expense of the taxpayer.

      • Right on!. I am currently reading a George Will article saying what many have been saying about Romney/Ryan for a while, the first ticket in I don’t know how long to say something meaningful about the entitlement crisis. Do you think R/R can walk the walk?

        • @Justin,

          I don’t know. If we can elect him in a large enough landslide, then make sure he understands that it was TEA Party-type voters responsible for his election by continuing to pour on the heat…maybe.

          HOWEVER, we should not fool ourselves into thinking Romney is a conservative. He has said he is Progressive, and he showed it in the debates. He agreed with a great deal of Obama’s policies, he just wants to do things “his way.” Ryan, on the other hand, may actually be a conservative. But, as VP, he’ll be of little help.

  1. I disagree. Christie is doing what is right for his constituents. They need to come first. I know that he is catching a lot of flak from fellow Republicans but this shows that Republicans are willing to work with an administration made up of the opposing party. Contrast the way he is treating Obama to the way Bush was treated by the Democrats after Katrina.

    • @Utah,

      Then how can you argue that Obama is doing something wrong with all his spending??? If Christie is doing what is right for his constituents, then Obama is doing what is right for his — and that means ALL of us. So, by the principle you just espoused, you can have no fiscal argument against Obama. 😦

      • No, you are so wrong on this, that you aren’t even on the map. This is a disaster. This is not handing out cell phones or building robotic squirrels. I do believe that the federal government has a role in situations like these.

        It doesn’t change your proposition that Christie is a “progressive”.

        • “This is a disaster.”

          And so was the economic collapse and following recession/depression.

          I can see we’re going to disagree over this one. That’s cool, but I am not wrong (at least, not on the principles of liberty side of this issue, anyway). Either way, I’ll go stand in my corner with the founders and let the rest of you discuss the political points to be made here 😉

          • You are wrong about me and because we disagree about the interpretation of the role of the federal government in this, you are NOT automatically right.

            The financial disaster was a controllable event that had causes and consequences, many of the causes had origins in government policy. A hurricane is a natural disaster that isn’t controllable other than the aftermath as we rebuild.

            I agree that it is a state’s role to assist its own citizens but that is not the system we have today, what we have today is a corruption of the 10th Amendment creating a powerful central government and it is not possible for Christie to work outside that system. Just because you wish we have a true federalist system does not make it so – Christie is working within an existing framework – we can change that framework but that isn’t going to happen today.

            • So, because the other side does it, we should/have to do it too? That is what you are saying, Utah.

              Look, as long as Republicans keep acting like Liberal/Progressives whenever something like this happens, they will NEVER — repeat — NEVER hold the moral high ground.

              You and I both know the founders would have objected to federal spending for something like this. Madison said so, as well as Adams and Jefferson. So, I suppose, if you want to claim “modernity” on this issue, then you are correct: Christie should act like a liberal and feel good about it. I just wish the Republicans would do us all one favor then: STOP TOUTING THE CONSTITUTION!

              I am suddenly rethinking my vote for Romney… 😦

    • Good points all the way around, Boss-man. Christie is doing what governors do, or are supposed to do, anyway. When the hurricane is upon you, now is not the time to discuss fiscal apportionment. Christie has a mouth on him, too, I hope he stays on the national stage.

      But B is spot-on, the money that the feds give to the battered states came from them to begin with; every transfer of money is costly and efficiency-challenging; why not let the states keep the money in a bad-weather fund of their own? In an overwhelming disaster, such as Katrina, Of Course the rest of the country will help, we just don’t need Obama in a ball cap directing the water truck down three blocks.

      • “every transfer of money is costly and efficiency-challenging”

        Maybe in some cases, but not all, I think. Economy of scale means that FEMA can have staff, equipment, etc. located in one place and then move it where needed. Should every state that might suffer hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, ice storms, etc., have to have the same equipment?

        “why not let the states keep the money in a bad-weather fund of their own?”

        Are you saying the states should keep their money but the feds should tell them how to spend (or save) that money? Many strapped states would fail to save enough, so at what point would the “disaster” be deemed “overwhelming”?

        • States not saving for a shaky day could be a problem, I agree, but Louisiana doesnt need ice breakers and thermal suits; Arizona doesn’t need sandbags. So mass duplication would be a small matter, I believe. States could always partner up and share equipment in a crisis.

  2. Christie is laying it on a little thick, putting on quite the show. All he had to say is, I support Romney, maybe ask him to send the campaign bus with some water and food. Public groveling to get help from Washington kind of made me ill, and makes me think he’s trying to sink the Romney campaign at the last minute.

  3. Not to be difficult, but could have Governor Christie, helped his constituents as much without help from the federal government? While I agree with you that the best help would be people volunteering and providing help, realistically, few people do, and even most charities are little more then scams. To say nothing of the PR hit the media would have given Governor Christie for “hurting the people of NJ by thumbing his nose at Obama”, if he refused Federal aid.

    • It is New Jersey’s money that Christie is seeking! The citizens paid in, and now they are collecting. Don’t expect Christie to turn down money the state is, ahem! entitled to.

    • @dakwolf,

      So instead, Christie spends the day campaigning with (read that FOR) Obama and — at the same time — he undercuts the conservative argument against fiscal irresponsibility.

      I understand that people see disasters as “different,” but they are no more an excuse to take California’s money and give it to NJ than my poor health is an excuse to take your money and give it to me. Either there is actual principle involved here, or it is nothing more than one bunch of progressives arguing with another and, if we’re going to go that route, we can quit now — we already know who wins (see Wilson v Roosevelt and everything that followed since).

      😦

      • I love you like a brother but you are way out on a limb with this line of thought. Christie was not campaigning or otherwise supporting Obama, he was touring with the President, the same thing he would have done if Romney was president.

        • Seems as though Drudge thought he was campaigning. That was even how he titled the story (and where I got it from). besides, when the Liberal media get hold of the huggy-huggy pictures of Christie and Obama together and run it with the juicy soundbites Christie provided, that is exactly how it will appear on Pravda West.

        • I never thought Christie was campaigning. I thought Obama was supporting Christie and like you said, Christie would have done the same thing regardless of who was president. I agree with your posts on the subject.

          Here’s where I see an issue with those that oppose what utah is saying:

          We talk about being bi-partisan and reaching across the aisle and when we have a chance to do so we get criticized for it. Christie did no more than be cordial in his response saying that Obama was there for the state of New Jersey. There’s no reason for him to be rude, standoffish, or down right nasty as some would think he should be. That’s just childish thinking. They showed respect to each other. That’s essential to a good working relationship. So what if Christie supports Obama or Obama supports Christie on this issue? Or is that sacrilege?

          During natural disasters we all should come together instead of continuing juvenile partisan bickering. It’s one thing to disagree about the funding, but another to say Christie was campaigning for Obama when he was just doing his job.

          “Not to be difficult, but could have Governor Christie, helped his constituents as much without help from the federal government?”

          No way he could have. And I agree that most don’t help because they just can’t. Also, we don’t see other nations running to aid us as much as we do for them during these times. Where are all of our so-called allies?

          If you agree with someone, you agree. You shouldn’t have to hide it. You shouldn’t have to worry about how the party views you (obviously Christie doesn’t) or what your peers may say. Christie is the bigger man at this point and did what he felt was right for his constituents just like some have argued on here that Romney did for his constituents in his healthcare plan. All of this hating the other guy only hurts us all in the end, and as long as it continues, the gridlock in Congress will continue. You don’t have to hate a person to disagree with him.

          I agree with Utah on this one.

  4. I think Christie is in a difficult spot (somewhere between the devil and the deep blue sea), damned if he takes fed $, damned if doesn’t, & since politicians are the consummate survivors (something akin to roaches), he takes the path of least resistance.
    While I have no doubts that Black3Actual would fall on his sword, for his beliefs and I commend him for that, I think that it is unrealistic to expect most people to do the same, let alone politicians. It rather reminds me of the old saying “there are no atheists in the foxhole”.

    Few people are brave, even fewer are brave when they need to be, more are brave when they have to be.

    On a side note, I firmly believe Dick Morris is correct, I expect a Romney landslide, 55+% of the popular vote & 300+ Electoral Votes.

    • I think Christie is in a difficult spot (somewhere between the devil and the deep blue sea), damned if he takes fed $, damned if doesn’t, & since politicians are the consummate survivors (something akin to roaches), he takes the path of least resistance.

      Yes, Christie is in a tough spot but — and this is hard to say because I truly think the man is a dolt — look at how Bloomberg handled this: Obama, stay away (just send the federal money on the side).

      Christie could have and should have handled this much better. We all know, photo op of no, the feds will help NJ. But, as you say, I tend to stand on right (as best I can figure it) and, if it costs me, so be it. In the end, it’s not men to whom I am worried about answering…

  5. Outclassed by Bloomberg. Pathetic.

    B3A, when the election is over, you should explain how Romney is a Progressive.

    I take what he said at the debates with a grain of salt, because I think half the time he was toying with Obama’s mind.

    • “you should explain how Romney is a Progressive”

      I can do that right now for you with one little word:

      Romneycare.

  6. Pingback: Sandy, Bloomberg & Christie should help Obama win re-election « James McPherson's Media & Politics Blog

  7. I see we got pinged by a liberal.

    @Augger, Liberals rail against Romney because he has changed his positions. True. How can a Mormon business executive become Governor of Massachusetts? I don’t know, but I can tell you my experience as a dishwasher was of absolutely no relevance when I got a job as a roofer. I think what people are missing is that Romney is a pragmatist, not an ideologue. As Governor of Massachusetts, he represented his Progressive constituents, worked with a Progressive state legislature, and gave the state the healthcare program that it wanted. Romneycare is progressive, but then again, Massachusetts is a progressive state, and there is nothing in the Constitution that says that states can’t experiment with their healthcare systems.

    As a Presidential candidate, Romney isn’t running on Romneycare. He is running on repeal and replace of Obamacare. On the face, these look like conservative stances to me, but it deserves more scrutiny. http://www.mittromney.com/issues/health-care

    On the stump, Romney has clearly, eloquently, and persuasively articulated the challenges the nation is facing. His emphasis has been on streamlining regulation and taxes, creating favorable trade policies, and not making future generations pay for today’s expenditures. Romney, back in 2008, said the GOP Congress during the Bush years had been spending money like drunken sailors. It is no secret the GOP establishment does not like him. A protest vote against Romney right now would be paramount to a vote of support for the profligate GOP establishment.

    People say we need to keep an eye on Romney. Wrong. We need to keep an eye on Progressive Republicans standing in his way.

    • @justin – take a look at what I posted here.

      I have done it – I’ve fired and replaced, I’ve shut entire businesses down…and there are people working in those remaining businesses today that would not have jobs had I not taken those painful decisions on. In my career there has been only one business that I couldn’t save and that was because the people who owned it would not acknowledge that there was a serious problem and as a result, they didn’t allow me to move fast enough to correct the issues. It was my second turn-around and I learned from that one that unless I had total control, I would not sign on to another one…and I haven’t.

      Doing a turn-around takes very few skills other than an ability to recognize problems, quickly assess the people who will be in the canoe with you as your team, speak honestly and directly about everything, have a bias for action (never delay a decision – better to be strong and wrong than weak and right) and an ability to create stability in an ambiguous world.

      The way to solve big, complex problems is to constantly test solutions and directions – if anybody ever tells you that they had a solid plan that never changed during a turn-around, they are lying – fire them immediately. The most dynamic situation you will ever face is when everything is going wrong and nothing works. There is no instruction manual for that. You have to make decisions and try them out – if they are wrong, you will know soon enough to change course. The key is building a sustained momentum – keep moving forward no matter what. It may not be in a straight line, most likely it won’t be, but motion equals survival – stasis equals death.

      Romney is no true blue conservative but he is the right man for the job at hand and that is conservative enough for me. He is the doorstop to halt the liberal roll and if he is successful, there is a conservative in the wings in Paul Ryan.

      • Utah, you are correct.
        So many times in my career, the “problem/issue” is flashing neon at me. I urge, explain, cajole, and coerce, but when those who NEED the help continue to ignore my well-meaning advice and help, “I want out”. Why?

        “They” ALWAYS blame the problem identifier/solver for their INACTION and resulting disaster.

      • “Romney is no true blue conservative but he is the right man for the job at hand and that is conservative enough for me. He is the doorstop to halt the liberal roll and if he is successful, there is a conservative in the wings in Paul Ryan.”

        Precisely. But Justin, make no mistake about it. Romney is a progressive.

    • “I see we got pinged by a liberal.”

      Who is the “we” here, Justin? I’ve been commenting here for a long time, and I don’t recognize you at all.

      • Pleased to meet you, James! I value civil discourse, but as you can see I am a little rough around the edges. We? I guess I meant everyone on this thread. I am a newcomer. Do I get to stay?

          • Thank you, Texas. I represent Wyoming. If Utah had a problem, I guess he would have said something by now. If you are reading this, thank you, Utah.

              • Reading through just now. I guess the question that comes to mind is, What Would Jefferson Do?

                Political philosophy aside, I guess my main interest is shining a light on what is happening in Congress and the White House. From my perspective, we actually have quite a few people who are in Congress fighting the good fight right now, so this strikes me as a crucial time to show them some support.

                For inquiring minds, just to give you a little background and not to be narcissistic, here is a bit from my graduate thesis on one of the Republicans who broke up the Democratic rule of the South. If I learned anything from this, it is that in politics, a lot of work, good and bad, goes unnoticed.

                “The year 2006 marked the fiftieth anniversary of the National Interstate and
                Defense Highways Act of 1956. While President Dwight D. Eisenhower has been
                recognized for his leadership, less has been said about the roles of successive Presidents
                and members of Congress who saw the Interstate system to its completion. This thesis
                focuses on the endeavors of Congressman William C. Cramer of St. Petersburg, Florida,
                who in the 1960s was the senior Republican on the Roads Subcommittee of the Public
                Works Committee of the House of Representatives.
                On the Roads Subcommittee, Cramer championed the Interstate system during the
                administrations of Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon. Throughout his career,
                Cramer fought the incorporation of toll highways into Interstate routes. He stood out
                early in his career in the creation of tougher laws to fight corruption in Interstate
                construction; eventually, the Kennedy administration adopted some of his proposals.
                While President Johnson promoted Great Society programs and escalated the Vietnam
                conflict, Cramer rallied fellow Subcommittee members to prevent Interstate funding from
                being diverted to other programs, a struggle that continued into the Nixon presidency.
                While helping the Subcommittee broker additional Interstate mileage for the nation,
                Cramer secured extra mileage for his home state and district.”

                It is a long beast full of more detail than most would care to read, and I imagine most people are perplexed by my admiration of this character. But for inquiring minds, this will take you to the PDF:

                http://www.google.com/search?q=justin+whitney+william+c.+cramer&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a

                Thanks again for the conversation.

                • Justin,

                  I happen to be one of those who will read nearly everything he can get his hands on — including Good Housekeeping and Cosmo. I’ll try to throw this in my mix, but, admittedly, I am knee — ah — a parsect deep in astrophysics right now, so it may take a while.

                  Thanks for sharing.

        • Pleased to meet you, too, Justin. And though I don’t have a vote, I’d vote for anyone to be able to stay. Your comment seemed to suggest that as a “liberal” I didn’t belong–my apologies for misreading it.

          • No worries, I was being a little provocative. I hope this article is right and yours is wrong. It appears that after the election I look forward to trying to persuade you to persuade Democratic members of Congress to help repeal the ACA.

        • Justin,

          Speaking as the RNL’s “trying to be humble” caretaker when the boss (Utah) is away, EVERYONE is welcomed here — even when they stretch the rules. Utah bends over backward to welcome all voices and I dutifully salute and follow those orders, so make yourself at home.

  8. Pingback: Liberal Bias - Official Prediction: Mitt Romney Landslide

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